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Concept Modulation Models: A Unified Framework for Identifiability and Extrapolation

Concept modulation models connect identifiability and extrapolation in conditional generative models. Attributes determine modulators, which govern latent concepts and ultimately observed features. The framework uses attribute potentials to characterize both the latent transformations compatible with observed data and the conditions under which agreement extends to unseen attributes. This provides algebraic extrapolation criteria and a common basis for several existing results in nonlinear ICA, causal representation learning, and perturbation modeling.

Dec 16, 2026

Context-Informed Ship Trajectory Prediction via Conditional Attention

The Conditional Informer predicts ship trajectories by conditioning vessel dynamics on environmental information. Its attention mechanism lets vessel states query contextual variables such as weather, reflecting the directional dependence of motion on environmental conditions. A modality masking strategy improves robustness when contextual sensors are unavailable. Experiments combining AIS trajectories with ERA5 weather data show improved forecasting accuracy and substantially reduced errors when context is missing.

Jul 29, 2026

A Unifying Framework for Unsupervised Concept Extraction

Concept extraction methods, including sparse autoencoders and transcoders, seek symbolic concepts within learned representations. This work studies their theoretical guarantees by treating concept extraction as a generative-model identification problem. A general identifiability theorem reduces the analysis to characterizing the intersection of two sets. Applying the framework to several common methods simplifies existing arguments and provides a foundation for designing concept extraction approaches with provable guarantees.

Apr 27, 2026

Knowledge-Enriched Machine Learning for Tabular Data

Jun 7, 2025

The Landscape of Causal Discovery Data: Grounding Causal Discovery in Real-World Applications

May 7, 2025

Probably Approximately Correct High-dimensional Causal Effect Estimation Given a Valid Adjustment Set

May 7, 2025

Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability

Apr 4, 2025

Causal Imputation for Counterfactual SCMs: Bridging Graphs and Latent Factor Models

Mar 7, 2024

Causal Structure Discovery between Clusters of Nodes Induced by Latent Factors

Apr 11, 2022

Causal Imputation via Synthetic Interventions

Apr 11, 2022